Wednesday, January 25, 2012

The GOP is in Serious Danger of Losing the Presidential Election

With Obama's approval rating now creeping up into the high 40s and a Republican Presidential Primary that could end up with a weak candidate, or just as bad, a brokered convention the once good chance of winning back the White House in 2012 is slipping away.
Newt Gingrich won Saturday's South Carolina Primary resoundingly in a stunning rebuke of former front runner Mitt Romney. And now Gingrich leads in Florida by double digits. And to add to that infighting and supporters for candidates loathing the opposition enough that they may not support the winner if their man isn't the Nominee are making President Obama's chances at a 2nd Term better every week.
If Gingrich nets several large states before once again falling, and Santorum does the same with Romney winning some states and showing upa strong second in others this could very well leave no candidate with a majority of delegates. This will lead to a brokered convention with candidates scrambling to make deals with rivals for delegates and a lot more bad blood than there is even now.
Furthermore the only one of the top three candidates, Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum who comes close to winning is Romney. Santorum will send independents away in droves with his heavy-handed social conservative rhetoric and Newt has enough baggage and a tendency for gaffes that will also hurt his chances if he wins the nomination.
Romney may not even win, but he has a chance. And he won't hurt House and Senate candidates down-ticket like the others. Republicans don't have long to fix the mess they are in, and the stakes couldn't be higher.

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