Final Election Day Predictions and Musings

This election has had many twists and turns, both candidates have had their ups and downs but tomorrow it's over. Romney has made his mistakes but he has run a pretty good campaign, and Obama's angry and small rhetoric feel like the desperate gasps of a losing campaign.
But after being behind for weeks after his dismal performance in the first debate momentum has returned to Obama. Romney's momentum was ending even before Hurricane Sandy but now Obama has the wind at his back. But I don't think it can be entirely be explained by the hurricane. He seems to have some unexplainable way of staying in this race despite his dismal presidency.
Obama's reckless spending added 6 trillion to the debt and we have four years of deficits over $1 trillion, America's credit rating has also been downgraded for the first time in history, and not just once, but twice. To add to that the economy is stuck hovering at just below 8% unemployment and real unemployment is well above 10%. But he is still in the race and I can't explain it.
Romney has done his best to expose the president's record and offer an alternative. He offers hope when Obama offers class-warfare and anger, and yet I believe Obama will ultimately win the election.
The President leads or ties in most polls narrowly, with outliers Gallup and Rasmussen giving Romney a 1-point lead. But state polls look dismal for Romney. Obama leads in Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Colorado, but some have him up in Virginia slightly. Some polls are putting Romney up in Florida, but even if he carrys it he needs more to win.
Romney will almost certainly carry all the McCain states, plus Indiana, most likely North Carolina, possibly Virginia and Florida but Ohio looks perpetually out of reach, although some polls have it close or tied. But even if he won them all he would still need another state, because he would be a few electoral votes shy of 270.
So my prediction is Obama narrowly wins both the popular vote and the electoral college, Democrats hold the Senate plus or minus a seat and Republicans hold the House. This bodes ill for bipartisanship, which the President Obama shows no interest in, but it will mean extreme far-left legislation like Card Check would go nowhere, and any attempt to push another Obamacare-like bill would never pass the House.
I could be wrong, the polls might be wrong and Romney could win, but I doubt it. If the polls are right and Obama wins it will mean that a conservative agenda even in the face of all the problems of Obama's presidency has been rejected. Could America have shifted to a center-right country to a liberal country without anyone knowing it? It's hard to say because polls also show Romney is still trusted more on economic issues and yet he is still behind.
And I can't explain it, I would be very interested to see the election post mortem for anwsers.